Showing posts with label growth. Show all posts
Showing posts with label growth. Show all posts

Tuesday, 4 March 2014

IMF study finds inequality is damaging to economic growth

Find the original posting on Guardian website here.

Find the IMF discussion paper 'Redistribution, Inequality and Growth' here 


IMF study finds inequality is damaging to economic growth

International Monetary Fund paper dismisses rightwing argument that redistributing incomes is self-defeating
Economist Joseph Stiglitz
The IMF research backs Nobel-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz’s view that inequality is a drag on growth. Photograph: Murdo Macleod
The International Monetary Fund has backed economists who argue that inequality is a drag on growth in a discussion paper that has also dismissed rightwing theories that efforts to redistribute incomes are self-defeating.
The Washington-based organisation, which advises governments on sustainable growth, said countries with high levels of inequality suffered lower growth than nations that distributed incomes more evenly.
Backing analysis by the Keynesian economist and Nobel prizewinner Joseph Stiglitz, it warned that inequality can also make growth more volatile and create the unstable conditions for a sudden slowdown in GDP growth.
And in what is likely to be viewed as its most controversial conclusion, the IMF said analysis of various efforts to redistribute incomes showed they had a neutral effect on GDP growth. This last point is expected to dismay rightwing politicians who argue that overcoming inequality robs the rich of incentives to invest and the poor of incentives to work and is counter-productive.
The paper, written by Jonathan Ostry, the deputy head of the IMF's research department, and the economists Andrew Berg and Charalambos Tsangarides, comes after several years of heated debate over the path that developed and developing countries' economies have taken since the financial crash and whether their recoveries are sustainable.
Anti-poverty charity Oxfam welcomed the report, saying it shows "extreme inequality is damaging not only because it is morally unacceptable, but it's bad economics".
It added: "The IMF has debunked the old myth that redistribution is bad for growth and demolished the case for austerity. That redistribution efforts -essential to fight inequality- are good for growth is a welcome finding. Low tax and low public spending are clearly not the route to prosperity."
It is 18 months since the IMF published its controversial view that government cuts to public-sector spending were having a larger detrimental effect than previously thought. The paper, written by its chief economist, Olivier Blanchard, was incendiary and sparked denials in London and Brussels where calls for austerity were strongest.
Heated debate over Blanchard's analysis has continued ever since, with many economists claiming that assumptions used in the critique were flawed.
The authors of this latest report can expect the same backlash, especially in the US where the Tea Party has defended tax cuts for wealthy individuals and studies show most of the country's income growth since the crash has gone to the richest 1%.
Last year the UK's coalition government cut tax on incomes over £150,000 from 50p to 45p after a debate over the negative effects on growth of high taxes on wealthy individuals.
The French president, François Hollande, has come under severe criticism for raising the tax on incomes above €1m to 75% from business groups that claim it will hit GDP and discourage wealthy investors from staying in France.
The report's authors said the study, which excluded so-called market interference such as banker bonus caps and increases in welfare spending, showed the largest redistributions of income had negative effects on growth, but were offset by the benefits of lower inequality.
"We find that higher inequality seems to lower growth. Redistribution, in contrast, has a tiny and statistically insignificant (slightly negative) effect."
They said the traditional view that efforts to redistribute incomes would have a corresponding and most likely detrimental effect on growth was unfounded.
"Rather than a trade-off, the average result across the sample is a win-win situation, in which redistribution has an overall pro-growth effect, counting both potential negative direct effects and positive effects of the resulting lower inequality," they said.
In an interview later Ostry said it was his belief that the inclusion of higher welfare payments would only support the argument in favour of redistribution.


Thursday, 1 November 2012

50th Nobel Symposia - Growth & development / Climate Change


Some of the world's most prominent economists discuss development and climate change at 50th Anniversary of Nobel Symposia.

Original Link here.  (highly recommend going to original site)

Program
Monday, September 3
8:15 - 9:00 Registration
9:00 - 9:10 Opening of Symposium
Growth 1
Chair: Per Krusell
9:10 - 10:40 Technology [Video]
Speaker: Paul Romer, Stanford University [Presentation]
Discussant: Peter Howitt, Brown University [Presentation]
11:00 - 12:30 Empirical Determinants [Video]
Speaker: Robert Barro, Harvard University [Paper] [Presentation]
Discussant: Abhijit Banerjee, MIT [Presentation]
Development 1 
Chair: Fabrizio Zilibotti


13:50 - 15:20 Schooling [Video]

Speaker: Mark Rosenzweig, Yale University [Presentation]
Discussant: Claudia Goldin, Harvard University [Presentation]
15:40 - 17:10 Health [Video]
Speaker: Michael Kremer, Harvard University [Presentation]
Discussant: Nancy Stokey, University of Chicago [Presentation]
17:30 - 19:00 Credit and Insurance [Video]
Speaker: Robert Townsend, MIT [Presentation]
Discussant: Orazio Attanasio, UCL [Presentation]

Tuesday, September 4
Development 2 
Chair: Jakob Svensson
9:00 - 10:30 Well-Being [Video]
Speaker: Angus Deaton, Princeton University [Presentation]
Discussant: Chad Jones, Stanford University [Presentation]
10:50 - 12:20 Policy Evaluation [Video]
Speaker: Esther Duflo, MIT [Presentation]
Discussant: Guido Tabellini, Bocconi University [Presentation]
Growth 2 
Chair: Philippe Aghion
13:50 - 15:20 Productivity and Misallocation [Video]
Speaker: Peter Klenow, Stanford University [Presentation]
Discussant: Chris Udry, Yale University [Presentation]
15:40 - 17:10 Human Capital [Video]
Speaker: Robert Lucas Jr., University of Chicago [Presentation]
Discussant: Sendhil Mullainathan, Harvard University [Presentation]
17:30 - 19:00 Institutions [Video]
Speaker: Daron Acemoglu, MIT [Presentation]
Discussant: Andrei Shleifer, Harvard University [Presentation]

Wednesday, September 5
Panels
09:30-11:00 Micro Meets Macro [Video]
Daron Acemoglu, MIT
Abhijit Banerjee, MIT
Angus Deaton, Princeton University
Elhanan Helpman, Harvard University
Robert Lucas, Jr., University of Chicago
Chair: Torsten Persson

13:40-15:10 How Can Policy and Aid Help in Bringing down World Poverty? [Video]
Public session at Aula Magna, Stockholm University
Panel discussion:
Paul Collier, Oxford University
Esther Duflo, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
William Easterly, New York University
Dani Rodrik, Harvard University
Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University
Introduction: Gunilla Carlsson, Minister for International Development Cooperation
Moderator: Timothy Besley, London School of Economics

15:10 - 15:40 Celebrating the IIES at 50 [Video]

15:40-15:50 Break

15:50-17:20 How Can We Solve the Problem of Global Warming? [Video]
Panel discussion:
Sir Nicholas Stern, London School of Economics
Hans-Werner Sinn, University of Munich
John Hassler, Institute of International Economic Studies
Elisabeth Moyer, University of Chicago
Introduction: Lena Ek, Minister for the Environment
Moderator: Klas Eklund, SEB 
17:20-18:00 Reception

Thursday, September 6
8:30 Coffee and Registration
Morning session
Chair: Torsten Persson
9:00 - 10:30 The Transition to Clean Technology [Video]
Speaker: Daron Acemoglu
Co-authors: Ufuk Akcigit, Douglas Hanley, and William Kerr
Discussant: John Van Reenen
10.45-12.15 Carbon taxes, Path Dependency and Directed Technical Change: Evidence from the Auto Industry [Video]
Speaker: Philippe Aghion [Paper]
Co-authors: Antoine Dechezlepretre, David Hemous, Ralf Martin, and John Van Reenen
Discussant: Robin Burgess
12.15-13.30 Lunch
Afternoon session
Chair: Philippe Aghion
13.30-15.00 Adapting to Climate Change: Evidence from Long-Run Changes in the Weather-Mortality Relationship in the 20th Century United States [Video]
Speaker: Olivier Deschenes [Paper]
Co-authors: Alan Barecca, Karen Clay, Michael Greenstone, and Joseph Shapiro
Discussant: Peter Nilsson
15.15-16.45 Weather and Infant Mortality in Africa [Video]
Speaker: Masayuki Kudamatsu [Paper]
Co-authors: Torsten Persson and David Strömberg
Discussant: Dean Karlan
17.15-18.45 Poverty, Growth and the Demand for Energy [Video]
Speaker: Catherine Wolfram [Paper]
Co-authors: Paul Gertler, Orie Shelef, and Alan Fuchs
Discussant: Jakob Svensson
19.30- Dinner

Friday, September 7
Morning session
Chair: David Strömberg
09.00-10.30 Climate Change, Environmental Shocks, and Socio-Economic Networks: the Case of Rainfall and Temperature in Thailand [Video]
Speaker: Robert Townsend [Paper]
Co-authors: John Felkner and Kamilya Tazhibayeva
Discussant: Andrew Foster
10.45-12.15 Evolving Comparative Advantage and the Impact of Climate Change in Agricultural Markets: Evidence from a 9 Million-Field Partition of the Earth [Video]
Speaker: Dave Donaldson [Paper]
Co-authors: Arnaud Costinot and Cory Smith
Discussant: Sam Kortum
12.15-13.30 Lunch
Afternoon session
Chair: Per Krusell
13.30-15.00 Conflict, Climate and Cells: A Disaggregated Analysis [Video]
Speaker: Eliana La Ferrara [Paper]
Co-author: Mariaflavia Harari
Discussant: Melissa Dell
15.15-16.45 The fossil Episode [Video]
Speaker: Hans-Werner Sinn [Paper]
Co-author: John Hassler
Discussant: Rick van der Ploeg
17.15-18.45 On the Spatial Economic Impact of Global Warming [Video]
Speaker: Esteban Rossi-Hansberg [Paper]
Co-author: Klaus Desmet
Discussant: Larry Karp
19.30- Dinner

Saturday, September 8
Morning session
Chair: John Hassler
09.00-10.30 The Social Cost Of Abrupt Climate Change [Video]
Speaker: Thomas Lontzek [Paper]
Co-authors: Yongyang Cai and Kenneth Judd
Discussant: Christian Traeger
10.45-12.15 A Global Economy-Climate Model with High Regional Resolution [Video]
Speaker: Tony Smith
Co-author: Per Krusell
Discussant: Elisabeth Moyer
12.15-13.30 Lunch
Afternoon session
Chair: Sam Kortum
13.30-15.00 Participation and Duration of Climate Contracts [Video]
Speaker: Bård Harstad [Paper]
Co-author: Marco Battagliani
Discussant: Tore Ellingsen
15.15-16.45 Environmental Policy and Directed Technical Change in a Global World: Is there a Case for Carbon Tariffs? [Video]
Speaker: David Hemous [Paper]
Discussant: Vasco Carvalho
17.15-18.45 Market-based Emissions Regulation and the Evolution of Market Structure [Video]
Speaker: Meredith Fowlie [Paper]
Co-authors: Meredith Reguant and Stephen Ryan
Discussant: Brian Copeland